Pearson Group Real Estate


Real Estate Market – Signs of Improvement
We hope that 2012 is off to a good start for you.
Our real estate reports are sent out to keep you informed about Real Estate in Clarkston, North Oakland County communities, and beyond.
Contact us at any time for specific questions regarding your homes’ value, investment opportunities, and general real estate advise.
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In This Issue
Homes Sold in Clarkston
Buy vs. Rent Calculator
Absorption Rate Reports

Market Update
Dan Elsea, President of Real Estate One, Brokerage Services – Monthly Market Update sent to his team of Realtors.
Dan’s December Market Update

Homes Sold in Clarkston
4th Quarter Report
clarkston house

This report includes Clarkston Homes Sold  in the 4th Quarter of 2011.  Note the Sold Prices vs the List Price.  Homes priced right sold faster and closer to List Price. We noticed an increase in first time home buyers who recognize that buying vs. renting can create monthly savings. While the prices for homes and mortgages remain affordable for buyers, the lower inventories also means…….

NOW is the right time if you are considering selling.

Rent vs. Buy

Foreclosure, Deed in Lieu, Bankruptcy , and Short Sales caused many people to rent homes while they repair their credit scores to an acceptable score that will qualify them for a mortgage.

It has been just the past couple of years that rental rates have sky rocketed while home affordability is now in reach for anybody who has the credit score and employment  to qualify.

Rent vs Buy Calculator

Absorption Rates
Supply and Demand

house inventory
Many price ranges in North Oakland County are seeing their lowest supply of homes since 2005. Due to increased consumer confidence and historical low interest rates, real estate sales are on the rise.   We had several home buyers up against multiple offers in the last quarter of 2011.  See the various township reports below.

3-5 Months Supply or Less = Seller’s Market
6 Months Supply = Balanced Market
6+ Months Supply = Buyer’s Market

Absorption Rate Reports
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Kay Pearson or Robin Cutler
Max Broock – Real Estate One
31 S. Main Street Clarkston, MI 48346Kay Pearson - Keyes Real Estate
4417 NE Ocean Bouldevard
Jensen Beach, FL 34957
            www.KayPearson.com
If your home is currently listed with another real estate broker or if you have an exclusive buyer agency agreement with another real estate broker, please disregard this as it is never our intent to solicit the offerings of other real estate brokers and real estate professionals.


December Market Update from Real Estate One
January 13, 2012, 7:05 am
Filed under: Michigan Market Updates

December showed a bounceback in buyer activity from a slight slowdown in September through the first half of November. Pending sales were up along with showing and website activity.

With 2011 as the year the market began to move off the bottom, the focus now turns to how fast will we get “back to where we were?” With the extent of the market decline and the economy’s slow growth, most of the real estate industry is cautious in predicting getting back to peak levels. Over time, values will return to and even exceed peak levels and they will do so faster than expected (just as we fell faster than expected). What we are seeing day-to-day “on the ground” is strong pent-up buyer demand for residential real estate and buyers willing to pay more than the asking price (albeit at prices 40% off peak). This activity is not being reflected in the national statistics since they tend to be four to eight months behind current market activity. 

Based on a steadily improving economy and using a combination of historical appreciation rates and an estimate of the decline in foreclosed properties, the following is our current forecast of home values.
We have moved from a peak valuation point in 2005 to the bottom point in early 2011. A little over five years to hit the bottom of the market and it should take about the same amount of time to recover as well. Interest rates are the biggest wild card in a steady recovery. With property values at a low-point, there is room in the market for higher rates without hurting demand. However, if rates rise dramatically, three to four years from now when values have recovered, to a degree, this could result in another market set back extending the “back to peak” point a few years. The main point of this exercise is to show that “peak” values are a few years away, so if a seller is waiting for their 2005 values, they should plan on a few years, not months. But, keep in mind, all boats rise in a recovery, so as a seller waits for their value to rise, the property they want to purchase rises as well (but in the future, at higher interest rates and payments).

The banks are expected to increase their inventory release rate, which will have some impact on appreciation rates this year. However, a large share of those properties are in poor condition and therefore will tend to draw investors and bulk buyers, with less impact on the typical single family property sale. Overall, it cannot be said enough that 2012 and, probably, 2013 will still be in that perfect balance of being an improving seller’s market as well as a great buyer’s market.  
 
As for our Company activity, 2011 compared to 2010 show the steady improvement we have been talking about all year. We hit another milestone, breaking last year’s record for the most real estate transactions by any broker in Michigan, which is 17,252. We also had a total of 26,295 customers served and 261 sales associates achieving their own personal record years as well!

Thank you for all of your support and hard work in making this past year another record breaker for all of us.

Dan Elsea
President – Brokerage Services
Real Estate One Family of Companies



Remodeling Cost vs. Value Report
January 9, 2012, 6:53 pm
Filed under: Home Improvement

Homeowners weighing their options to fix up an existing home or make home improvements to a home recently purchased, may find the Cost vs. Value Reports to be a valuable resource.

Washington, December 16, 2011

When it comes to remodeling, exterior replacement projects have routinely rewarded homeowners with more bang for their buck. This year is no different, as Realtors® recently rated many exterior improvements as among the most valuable home investment projects as part of the 2011-12 Remodeling Cost vs. Value Report.

“This year’s Remodeling Cost vs. Value Report shows the value of putting your home’s best façade forward, so to speak,” said National Association of Realtors® President Moe Veissi, broker-owner of Veissi & Associates Inc., in Miami. “Inexpensive exterior replacement projects are not only crucial to a home’s regular upkeep, but are also expected to recoup close to 70 percent of costs. Specific exterior projects such as siding, window and door replacements are part of regular home maintenance, so many homeowners are already undertaking them. These projects also do not require expensive materials and they have the added bonus of instantly adding curb appeal.”

HouseLogic.com, NAR’s consumer website, includes dozens of remodeling projects, from kitchens and baths to siding replacements, which indicate the recouped value of the project based on a national average. According to the Cost vs. Value, seven of the top 10 most cost-effective projects nationally in terms of value recouped are exterior replacement projects. Realtors® judged an upscale fiber-cement siding replacement as the project expected to return the most money, with an estimated 78 percent of costs recouped upon resale.

Two additional siding replacement projects were in the top 10, including foam-backed vinyl siding, expected to return 69.6 percent of costs, and upscale vinyl siding, expected to recoup 69.5 percent of costs. Three door replacements were also among the top exterior replacement projects. The steel entry door replacement is the least expensive project in the report, costing little more than $1,200 on average and expected to recoup 73 percent of costs.

The upscale garage door replacement jumped seven spots to number six this year, primarily due to the average cost of the project declining more than 15 percent nationally. The upscale and midrange garage door replacement projects are expected to return more than 71 percent of costs. One window replacement project – upscale vinyl – rounded out the last exterior replacement project in the top 10, expected to recoup 69.1 percent of costs.

The 2011-12 Remodeling Cost vs. Value Report compares construction costs with resale values for 35 midrange and upscale remodeling projects comprising additions, remodels and replacements in 80 markets across the country. Data are grouped in nine U.S. regions, following the divisions established by the U.S. Census Bureau. This is the 14th consecutive year that the report, which is produced by Remodeling magazine publisher Hanley Wood, LLC, was completed in cooperation with NAR.

Realtors® provided their insight into local markets and buyer home preferences within those markets. Overall, Realtors® estimated that homeowners would recoup an average of 57.7 percent of their investment in 35 different improvement projects, down from an average of 60 percent last year. Due to a weak economy, high unemployment in the construction industry and the increasing cost of materials, the price of remodeling projects have risen, leaving many homeowners hesitant to tackle projects or encouraging them to scale back on their plans.

Three interior remodeling projects are also considered worthwhile investments. A midrange attic bedroom is expected to return 72.5 percent of costs upon resale; of all the projects in the report, it is the least expensive way to add a bedroom and bathroom within a home’s existing footprint. A minor kitchen remodel, expected to return 72.1 percent of costs, is fourth overall, ranking two places higher than last year. Nationally, the average cost for the project is just under $20,000 and is the least expensive way to give an existing kitchen a complete facelift. A wood deck addition, landing at number seven overall, is expected to recoup 70.1 percent of costs. Improvement projects that are expected to return the least are a sunroom addition and a home office remodel, both estimated to recoup less than 46 percent of costs.

“Resale value is just one factor among many that homeowners need to take into account when making a decision to remodel,” said Veissi. “The desirability and resale value of particular remodeling projects also varies by region and metropolitan area. A Realtor® can help homeowners decide what low-cost improvement projects will provide the most upon resale in a particular market.”

Most regions followed the national trends; however the Pacific region, consisting of Alaska, Hawaii, California, Oregon and Washington has the highest average cost-value ratio in the country, at 71.3 percent. This is largely because the high cost of remodeling in the region is more than offset by high values at resale. The next best performing regions were West South Central (67.7 percent) and South Atlantic (67.3 percent), mainly due to the low construction costs in the areas and relatively strong resale values.

The regions in which the cost-value ratio is slightly above the national average are New England (60.5 percent), East South Central (59.8 percent) and Mountain (58.5 percent). Three remaining regions performed slightly below the national average. These are the Middle Atlantic (56.8 percent), East North Central (55.3 percent) and West North Central (49.5 percent).

Results of the report are summarized on HouseLogic.com. The website includes a wide variety of ideas and projects to help homeowners maintain, enhance and improve the value of their homes. To read the full project descriptions and access national and regional project data, visit www.costvsvalue.com. “Cost vs. Value” is a registered trademark of Hanley Wood, LLC.

Founded in 1976, Hanley Wood, LLC, is the premier media and information company serving the housing, commercial design and construction industries. Through its operating platforms, the company produces award-winning magazines and websites, marquee trade shows and events, market intelligence data, and custom marketing solutions. The company is also North America’s leading publisher of home plans.

The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.



10701 S. Ocean Drive Unit 893, Jensen Beach FL 34957

Michigan Monthly Real Estate Market Update
December 19, 2011, 6:38 pm
Filed under: Michigan Market Updates
Max Broock Realtors
Kay Pearson

Kay Pearson

248-860-0366

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AGENT PREVIEW:Michigan Monthly Market Update - November 2011The market continues its march towards recovery, but at an inconsistent pace. For example, November started out at a slower rate, but picked up speed toward the end of the month, catching up with last year, not surprisingly following the consumer confidence trend as well as car sales. Comerica’s Michigan Economic Activity Index confirms our jumpy recovery, showing the economy moving in a consistent range, bumping up and down within that range.The number of new listings coming on the market continues to decline, with sales rising (compared to 2010), causing the Months Supply of Inventory (MSI) to fall to a seasonally adjusted low point for the year. There is no doubt a constantly declining MSI will push home value up, and we have seen evidence of that over the past six months with over bids on many homes. The overall MSI is still above 5 months, which is considered a neutral market (for appreciation). In reality, the market is moving in two speeds, about 1/3 at under 2 months and 2/3′s at over 7 months with the average being 5 months. For the most part homes are either selling quickly, at or above list price (those in the best condition and priced competitively) or they are still selling at a large discount to asking price (poor condition/location/pricing). With that said, the steady downward MSI trend shows that buyers are beginning to compromise more on what they will accept in terms of condition and features, dipping into the less than salable inventory (but at a discounted price, which temporarily exacerbates the low appraisal issues).CHART: Solds – Pending Index – Price per Sq. Ft.

The chart above compares this year to the same month last year at three levels, which gives a seasonally adjusted view of each indicator.  Home values per square foot have shown a steady rise, particularly over the past five months. Homes sales, both closed (Solds) and pendings (Pending Index) have shown mixed results compared to 2010, mainly as a result of being compared to the tax credit months in 2010. Overall, sales have matched last year, which means natural housing demand has replaced the artificial demand created by the tax credits. The Pending Index on the chart is a projection of closed sales based on the 60 day average lag time from written to closed sales. The index shows that although the growth rate of sales slowed August to November, we can expect a quickening of activity carrying into the new year.

Lastly, Buyer Interest is holding steady in terms of showing appointments and open house visits and we expect this activity to continue going into the new year.  So Sellers, if you have been thinking about it, it is still a great time to put your house on the market!

If you’d like more information on the market, like to list your property, or want information on any property from any broker, you may call or email at anytime.

Thank you,



Michigan Market Update
November 26, 2011, 7:24 pm
Filed under: Michigan Market Updates

So far this year we have had a classic economic struggle of Good vs. Evil.

The Good Side

* Values are stable to rising (even Case-Shiller shows metro Detroit values are up!)
* We are creating jobs in Michigan
* Consumer Confidence moved up a bit
* Strong pent up buyer and seller demand
* Record low combination of prices and interest rates

The Evil Side

* Lack of saleable home inventories
* Larger percentage of homes with little to no equity
* Slow job growth
* Stock market volatility

To date, good has won out over evil, but the market did pause a bit in the last 45 days, with the pace of buyer demand sliding (but still ahead of last year at this time). There are a couple of potential causes. The stock market/European “noise” has been distracting (3rd quarter 401K statements came out in Oct, which may have scared some), but the main cause may be that we simply do not have enough saleable homes. If you don’t have enough logs for the fire, it will eventually die down. We could be in for a strange stair-step real estate recovery cycle: sales rise, depleting inventories, then fall from fewer homes to sell which causes values to rise (fewer listings = feeding frenzy), which brings more homes back into the market (more sellers can now sell), and the cycle starts over again. It is a scenario that occurs with every recovery but exaggerated today because lower home equity levels are keeping a lid on inventories. Price per square foot has continued to rise compared to last year, with available homes for sale up slightly as well (mainly over $250,000). The available home levels feel lower, because it has actually fallen over the past 90 days (as it did last year as well).

The seasonal shifts make it difficult to judge the true market momentum without comparing to the same time last year. Pending home sales are at a faster pace than last year as well, causing the Months Supply of Inventory to decrease over the past 90 days, which is putting positive pressure on values. Our best leading market indicators are open house visitors, website visits, and the number of showings on our listings. As you can see from the Percentage Monthly Change – 2011 vs 2010 chart, compared to the same time last year, all three have positive trends, with the showing count giving some mixed signals (confirming the October slowing). In summary, this is a great time to put your house on the market if you have been thinking about it. The right priced homes are seeing multiple offers and selling quickly. If you’d like more information on the market, like to list your property, or want information on any property from any broker, you may call or email at anytime.

Thank you,
Robin Cutler & Kay Pearson
P: 248-860-0366
kaypearson@maxbroock.com
http://www.KayPearson.com



House Values Continue to Decline
November 14, 2011, 9:04 pm
Filed under: Real Estate News

CoreLogic September Home Price Index Shows Second Consecutive Month-Over-Month and Year-Over-Year Decline

Real Estate Industry and Trade Media

November 07, 2011, Santa Ana, Calif. –

––Prices Are 4.1 Percent Lower Than a Year Ago––

Read the Entire Article



Real Estate Sales Down and Up in North Oakland County

SALES PRICES ARE UP! 

NUMBER OF HOMES SOLD IS DOWN!

Down and UP at the same time?  Yes it is.  Our recent review and market reports reveal that our average sales prices are inching their way up while the lack of inventory is causing us to have fewer sales.

Printable View of the Sales Comparison Report

It does require a bit of analytical review to realize why your Realtor may
be short on energy and why you, if you are a buyer, are all fed up with
with looking for that dream home.

Our Absorption Rates reveal that it is a “Seller’s Market”  in several areas and price brackets.

Clarkston Absorption Rates
Brandon Absorption Rates
Holly Absorption Rate
Lake Orion Absorption Rate
Waterford Absorption Rate

This market condition brings a new set of challenges for buyers and sellers.

Contact us if we can provide you information related to your real estate circumstances.

Printable View of the Sales Comparison Report



Absorption Rate Graphs are completed by “The Pearson Group” for several
areas.  We often post these charts for buyers and sellers to view and
always provide the charts to each seller at the time a home is being
listed.  The Absorption Rate Reports reveal the supply and demand in
areas and often reveal a variety of variables that can be helpful to
sellers who want to assure their home is competitively priced and it can
also help buyers understand if they are dealing with a “Buyers” or
“Sellers” market.

“Absorption Rate” is the mathematical representation of the
relationship between supply and demand. The total amount of available
homes is divided by the total amount of homes sold in the previous
months. The resulting number represents the number of months it would
take, at that same pace, to sell the entire inventory of homes.

So what is considered a Buyers or Sellers Market in Real Estate Sales

  • “Normal Market” conditions exist when the Absorption Rate is 5-7 months.
  • “Sellers Market” conditions exist when the Absorption Rate is lower. (1-4 month)
  • “Buyers Market” conditions exist when the Absorption Rate is higher. (7+ months)


Recently Sold in Clarkston




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